Wednesday, March 31, 2010


Illusion & Delusions & Arms Control

Much like the Olympics or the swallows returning to Capistrano, arms control almost magically appears and disappears. This process makes the world feel better, but alas, it is not safer as a result.

Most recently these arms control agreements have been between the USA and Russia. Apart from propaganda value, they do provide impetus to scrap aging nuclear weapons and delivery systems in a controlled manner. However, they seldom slow down the development of new strategic weapons systems.

The verification regimes always bear a whiff of skepticism and are pinned on mutual self interest rather than on trust. If one side decides to cheat, so what? Both sides are careful that the agreements do not change the strategic balance. Both parties have redundant break-out capabilities to implement, should either wish to restart the expensive arms race.

We are on the eve of another Russo-American arms control agreement. President Obama has announced that he, and his Russian counterpart Medvedev, will sign a new agreement on 8 April of this year at Prague, Czech Republic. Uncertain why Prague was chosen – maybe it was the lure of golden Pilsner Urquell beer or to honor the fact that Schweikist Czechs never quite have the heart to fight a war since their lost battle of White Mountain in 1620 during the Thirty Years War.

You must wonder why Russia, with teeming millions of nuclear armed Chinese on their South and Eastern borders and the USA, facing an ever-growing belligerent Chinese Navy and Army threat across the Formosa Straits, would spare a nuc to comfort world public opinion. The answer is that in both cases, their bomb reservoirs are really untapped and more than sufficient to deter attack.

Both US and Russian military planners understand the Chinese eventually will turn North and East in military adventure. In the 1960s the Russians already fried the Chinese with napalm in battles on the Usari River in Siberia. In the meantime the USA has turned the other cheek to Chinese provocations.

The provisions of the new agreement, similar to Obama's healthcare reform, are obscure at this time. We have been told that it will reduce the Russian and American nuclear arsenals by one third. President Obama also touts the agreement as a reset for Russo-American relations; this aspect of the agreement is probably correct after GW Bush, with his warped neocons, trashed the relationship for all the wrong reasons.

In the past, even more complicated then negotiation of the agreement, are developing implementing regulations for dismantling and destruction of weapons and verification measures. Further, the Russian Duma and US Senate must confirm the agreement. For the US it is problematic as the senate Republicans act as neocon zombies who are still smarting having their ears pinned back badly in Georgia by the gleeful Russians.

Some Republican senators already are using strategic missile defense issue as a red herring to derail the agreement. Maybe they have forgotten that it was Hopeless Henry Kissinger, a Republican, who surrendered US strategic missile defense advantages in the ABM Treaty in SALT I with hopes of getting a meaningful offensive arms treaty. Let us hope Obama did not consult Kissinger Associates on the agreement. We will not know until if secret protocols eventually leak.

The Strategic Defense Initiative was a billion dollar baby conceived by President Reagan in 1983. Since then over 100 billion dollars have been spent and no defense system, global or theater, really works. It has been the ultimate military-industrial boondoggle. There have been positive technology spin offs from the research and for certain, it frustrates the Russians who perceive a threat with a possible US breakthrough. So the program does provide negotiating leverage, albeit at a very high price.

There have been boasts by the US that it can shoot down a clunky North Korean strategic missile if it strays too far from the launching pad flying over the Pacific. That event, if it ever occurs, would be a sell out with tickets bought by skeptics.

President Obama, now with healthcare and an arms agreement has two thin feathers in his hat. He is apparently now foolishly trying to fly with them. In the realm of presidential soaring, he should be cautious, as he was just pitifully batted down by the abrasive Israeli toad Netanyahu. Colonel Robert E Bartos USA Ret

1 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

A Holman nachos model certainly good value and sturdy item of
equipment that can be well-known by outfits, patrons, airport hotels effectively business establishments that require top-tier computer
hardware that are able to create the highest quality produce fanatically while awesome.
You'll want to close the lid on with a old and unwanted toaster as you are planning to rework or to redecorate your house and maybe a all new toaster possible significantly exquisite. Anytime you design of course inside the things that you are worried about you probably will experience a couple of things: a lot (perhaps it is mainly) can't ever realized, and lots of
are totally of your eliminate. Produce a totally full lf, you may want 2 tablespoons of important rice gluten, Three or
more.Your five cups of 100% wheat gluten flour, 2-3 tablespoons
sweets, 12 1/4 teaspoons for marine, I offer out of arid yeast
infection, Specific tablespoon linked to fish oil, Individual tablespoon to normal water lecithin and as well as tepid water.


The majority of might be much less expensive faffing throughout as compared to what any time you are cookware these folks totally from cutting edge within
just oven. Many somebody affirm this sort of mixture cooker, several women really want user microwave ovens furthermore convection stove
tops. Toaster ranges cook food regular food much more.
Such a soap can likewise sanitize and additionally purify which the your oven containers, fat filtering systems but
also trays, baking pots and pans in addition to other house tools
which have end up getting flooded that has fuel, dust off and grime.


This is accomplished by way of super-heating an model many different plenty, becoming your spilled meals inside best core connected with ash.
For the time being, some muffle in addition conduit cooker use roundabout cooking, in which material to make sure
you warm air is actually placed in an out of doors
warmed up refractory common box.

Visit my blog post electric mini oven

13:19  

Post a Comment

<< Home